You can add more columns
You can slide them into place in any order
If the Buttons are black then they are enabled
In order to fully understand and utilize the Stock Odds database the integral components are Signals and Outputs
Signal
You first have to choose a Signal
Signals include
Moves, MFI, Tec Patterns, VIX FIX, %B, CCI, RSI, Momentum, %R, Stochastics
Output
You then choose Output
Different Timeframes for Output
Close to Close (CC)
Close to Open(CO)
Close to Close (3day, 5day or 10day)
FIRST set your Timeframe. Choices are: Daily, Weekly, Monthly
If you choose weekly then the look- back number is in weeks
Then you can choose Look-back period:
Daily =
500, 1000, 1500 or 2000 days
Weekly =
100, 200, 300, or 400 weeks
Monthly =
25, 50, 75, or 100 months
Bins can be used on any SIGNAL. SImply put, it's a way of dividing data statistically. It can be very helpful to peer into the results of a particular bin and then view the odds of the OUTPUT from that bin.
We have the choice of quantity of days for our Bin output on CC.
We can see AAPL placed into the BIN of 0.50 - 0.75. It's performance for the last update date chosen of 8/9/2017 was 0.6122 which is in the middle of that BIN.
We can drill down on AAPL and see each of the 137 events that have occurred.
We can export that drill down as a CSV file.
We set up a screen for streaks and find AAPL has a SIGNAL of 4 directional moves up.
We can see AAPL placed into the BIN of 0.50 - 0.75. It's performance for the last update date chosen of 8/9/2017 was 0.6122 which is in the middle of that BIN.
Now we can compare the Performance BIN Odds of AAPL with Streak Odds of AAPL givins us the opportunity to compound strategies or "line-up the ducks".
We can drill down on the 70 streak events and download them as a CSV file also.
Just click on the square next to the
symbol to drill down.
This lets you see at a glance any
anomalies.
You can also get confidence in the
average or median value.
Looking at the previous slide of our sorted results, we see a streak down of 5 days in a row.
Streaks start after a day with a zero value.
A zero value is a day with a close in the opposite direction.
The streak starts after that zero day with a 1 or -1.
The streak continues with ones or minus ones until a close in the opposite direction.
The probability of an up day is at 66.7% with a positive Sharpe ratio of 0.1946.
Just click on the square next to the symbol to drill down.
This lets you see at a glance any anomalies.
You can also get confidence in the average or median value.
